This site displays an overview of the current forecast models for the 2024 US presidential election, refreshed every hour. These models attempt to predict the outcome on election day.
The information is provided as a quick reference only. Please click on a forecast's card to dive into its details and methodology. The inclusion of a given forecast is not an endorsement.
- Percentages may not add up to 100 due to rounding or due to unlikely outcomes not shown here (e.g. an electoral college tie).
- Nate Silver's forecast is behind a paywall. Therefore, its prediction is updated manually only when Silver mentions its current prediction publicly. To see the current prediction, subscribe to his newsletter.